Monday, October 28, 2019

Week 1 Observations



  • Arctic off to a rough start. Having Harden shoot 24% and 12% at his high volume never helps. Meanwhile, Westbrook has actually been very good.
  • Arctic does have a few players who are clinging to their JBL jobs after slow starts. I’m talking about you Malik Monk, Justin Holiday, and Trevor Ariza
  • Has the Arctic turned Mr. Wiggins into a player? 25 points on Sunday on 50/40? 
  • The Year of the Kok has started is off to a good start. Mitchell, Jokic, Siakam and Myles have all been very good. It looks like he’s found a potential gem in Coby White. 
  • Jrue Holiday has surely been a disappointment considering his slow start and now some sort of knee injury
  • And Zach Collins will never live up to Kok’s lofty expectations I’m afraid. And now a shoulder injury. Kok will be sad. 
  • The Ham N Eggers (which is now one of my favourite all time JBL names by the way) must be over the moon with Goran Dragic’s production so far. Sell high time? Or ride him out?’
  • Dennis Smith Jr. doesn’t appear to be JBL worthy let alone NBA worthy. Fizdale just doesn’t play him. 
  • Lebron looks fresh and springy
  • Bellingham needs to take advantage of that extra bench spot he’s carrying as his bench is loaded with the Mash unit. That said, he must retain Klay and Wall for next season (or at least one of them) to make this year all worth it.
  • Patrick Beverley is so fun to watch. Like a dog on a bone. He doesn’t score much but man he help in the other categories.
  • PJ Washington sure did work out well. Somehow he was missed by many teams in our JBL rookie draft. 
  • Taurean Prince has been a pleasant surprise for Brussels 
  • Brussels has several ‘watch’ players on his roster right now. Can he get Rondo, Thybulle, or Giles into his lineup at some point if they become fantasy worthy. It’s a waiting game. We just won’t know.

  • Danny Green has been fantastic to start the season in Cali
  • Cali is definitely going to finish last in scoring. However, he could finish 1st in both FG% and 3PT%
  • Drummond’s been very good this week while Gobert has not. 
  • Cali could really use Cauley-Stein and Oladipo sooner rather than later
  • Cali did really well in week 1 considering half of the starters come off the bench for their NBA teams
  • KAT is the #1 fantasy player after the first week…man, he’s been good. Of course, coming into Sunday he was shooting 60/61 so those will obviously come down
  • The Wack is loving his Big 3 and improved his depth by signing Kaminsky and Moe Harkless. Good pickups in my eyes.
  • Justise Winslow has been very good to start the season
  • Frank the Tank earned his way back onto a JBL roster
  • Dillon Brooks is jekyl and hyde. One day good, one day bad
  • French must be excited to start this season. He’s not in 1st place. First time since about November 2018 we can say that. Most of this roster has underachieved to this point, so watch out when they get cooking
  • Golden is shy on big men - cause Alex Len and Jakob Poeltl suck
  • Otto Porter looks like a huge bust and SGA looks like he'll be a fantastic keeper
  • Montrezl Harrell is fun to watch. 
  • Golden spending $33 on Kendrick Nunn is his largest winning FA win in franchise history. Golden’s best FA signing was Whiteside for $1 all those years ago.
  • Idaho off to a hot start without Blake, PG13, and suddenly Ayton
  • Idaho also has a number of overachievers in that Brandon Ingram won’t shoot 53/53, RJ Barrett won’t shoot 51/54 and Kevin Knox won’t shoot 50/64. We can expect those %’s to level off in the coming weeks
  • I think Markelle Fultz will actually be a player. His shot looks better and I think Idaho has found a gem here for $5 bucks. 
  • Juan must be loving Malcolm Brogdon and Derrick Rose. 
  • Marc Gasol off to a slow start. He’s probably still hungover from his summer partying.
  • Giannis for $74 looking like great value.
  • Juan’s pick of Rui Hachimura in the rookie draft is looking like steal
  • Coby White and PJ Washington not getting picked in the rookie draft looks like highway robbery
  • Maui’s Mike Conley off to a horrible shooting start. We know that will come up in the coming weeks. 
  • The Marvin Bagley injury really hurts - both the Kings and the Ribs
  • Lonzo’s shot form is much improved over last season. His %’s are the same, but at least his shot looks better
  • Luke Kennard has been impressive in Detroit.
  • Imagine if Drummond opts out at the end of the season and leaves Detroit.That’s going to be a really bad team.
  • Norfolk did well landing Kelly Oubre for $10 bucks. He’s on fire
  • Trae Young is reminding me of Harden. He dribbles over centre and then shoots some crazy shots. Don’t know if I love that style of play.
  • Norfolk has done very well considering he’s played with Jimmy Butler this week
  • Seoul just scores and scores and scores…..
  • Is Tristan Thompson actually good now? Off to a roaring start
  • Dejounte Murray looks healthy and looks really good. 
  • Rudy Gay always goes for $1 and is always undervalued. A good 5th forward on any JBL roster
  • Isaiah Thomas looked good in his first game back. He could help out the Jizz.
  • The Warriors are a bad team. They have Steph, D-Russ and Draymond. That’s it. The rest of the team is not good. Can I change my vote, I don’t see how this team makes the playoffs in the West.

Sunday, October 20, 2019

The 29th JBL Auction


What a night boys!  We completed the draft in 3.5 hours with only one little hiccup along the way. Very impressive.

This was a very interesting draft as the big names didn’t go as high as I thought they would. Then we saw a dip in prices for a bit and then we saw some massive prices again as the ‘best of the rest’ was drying up. As always, the final 40 picks or so were all value picks and there could be some bargains in there for the teams.

So, I thought I would go through some observations of what I saw throughout the night…

First off, there were a number of injured guys that were auctioned off quite early in the draft. Durant was brought up in the first round I think and he went for $21 bucks. John Wall went for $4 bucks, Oladipo for $20, Nurkic for $6, and Klay Thompson for $15. Because they were all drafted at Auction, all of these players are eligible for protection next season. Before this draft started I thought it would be wise for any team without any keepers to grab one of these players in hopes of building a long term contender. Bellingham must have read my mind as he ended up with Wall and Klay as potential keepers for next season. And Vancouver also grabbed KD so I give them big props for going this route. Of course, one big name injured player didn’t get drafted - DeMarcus Cousins. That means if he’s signed as a JBL Free Agent he must play 20 NBA games in order to be eligible for protection. So….that’s not happening. Anyways, these could be great keepers for these teams next year or they could also be fantastic trading chips for those teams that fade away from the title race in Jan/Feb and want to stock up for 20/21.

Let’s quickly look at the draft, team by team.

Arctic
Already loaded with big name players when this draft started and having only $107 bucks to fill out a roster made the evening very difficult. Of course, we also saw Arctic ‘go dark’ (aka Auto Pilot) in the latter half of the draft. Not sure his auto-drafter really did him any favours, but I guess you can consider Jackson and Portis as helpful roster players. I would expect Arctic to be very busy when Free Agency opens up later this week. Crikker added Paul George and Jamal Murray to the squad and now needs to improve his depth on this squad.

Bangkok
The Year of the Kok continues as he had a very solid draft and added some big names in Nikola Jokic and Jrue Holiday to an already impressive roster. His late round flyers on Coby White, Jerami Grant, and Osman were all very good pickups and all 3 of those players could see time in the Kok roster this season. Good draft for the Kok as he attempts to play with the big boys this season. He’s off to a good start with his trade of Zion; now a solid draft; and now let’s see how he manages this squad throughout the season. Dare I see this ‘deep Kok’ team is a money contender already?

Bellingham
Expansion Todd was drafting from his phone in Seattle so that always makes things difficult. I consider it a successful draft because he landed Klay Thompson and John Wall. No expansion team is ever going to compete for a JBL title in their 1st year because the top teams from the year before all have multiple keepers. However, if Ham N Eggers can finish high enough in the standings and get to keep a couple of players - look out. It’s a marathon, not a spring. I like the cornerstone pieces in Lillard and Lebron and I was bidding against Todd for Thomas Bryant’s services late in the draft. The 1st year JBL owner is in for a long season, but I think he’s done well to land 2 potential keepers for next season.

Brussels
Timmy took this draft very seriously and he will certainly improve on his 11th place finish from last season. It certainly appeared Brussels had the same study-guide to the draft as he out-bid me on Adams, Aldridge, Horford, J-Rich, Looney and DeRozan. I also like a couple of the flyers Brussels took on Thybulle and PJ Washington. This is a good team and can be a dangerous squad in 19/20. I’ll admit, it’s been awhile since I wrote that about a Brussels squad. 

Cali
I’m not sure if the return to the JBL went as they planned, but Cali has the twin-towers (Gobert and Drummond) in the middle - and then a bunch of other guys. By their own admission, this squad is not going to score a lot of points. They did the right thing and landed Oladipo as a potential keeper for next season. However, they also did the cardinal No-No and left money on the table. Cali only spent $241. The JBL is hard enough, but it’s even harder when you don’t use all the money available. Believe me, I know. I like the Satoransky, Ingles, and Danny Green picks. This could be a challenging first year back for this group.

Chilliwack
The Wack came into this draft already loaded with KAT, Adebayo and Morant. He quickly added Steph Curry and Anthony Davis to the squad. That’s some top end talent right there. The role players will need to be sorted out if they want to reach their potential though. A lot of question marks in Kris Dunn, Markieff Morris and Dwight Howard. This squad also has Dillon Brooks, George Hill and James Johnson so we will have to see if they are able to be fantasy relevant again. However, that’s what the waiver wire is for and I’m sure the Wack will be busy. This is a contender folks so look out. Could Chilliwack claim another title? He’s off to a good start.

French Lick
The defending champs are back in the hunt again. A very well balanced draft with his highest priced player being the mercurial Whiteside at $41 dollars. This is team is loaded from 1 to 15 with 3 bench players that would probably be starting on many other JBL rosters. Even in the event of an injury, French has the depth to carry on. This squad is a title contender. Can French go back-to-back and make it 4 titles in 5 years. He’s got a great chance and he’ll love watching as he has 3 Celtics on this year’s squad. Winning and watching your favourite team/players. A job well done. 

Golden
Typical Golden draft where I had way too much money for way too long in the draft. I ultimately landed the guys I wanted but at prices much higher than I thought would be needed. Although I will say I was not planning on getting Kyrie or VanVleet - it kind of just worked out that way and I’m happy to have them. I also landed a Blazer. Finally. Albeit the injured Nurkic who I can stash away for next season. And even though they aren’t brothers - I’m happy to have the Bridges brothers. I believe Golden will be in the hunt again. I like the squad and even though my draft didn’t go as planned, if I end up challenging for a 12th JBL title then I’ve had a good year. 

Idaho
Oh Idaho. I know for certain you did not go into this draft hoping to land Kevin Love, Blake Griffin, Andrew Wiggins and Eric Gordon. Sometimes pushing the bid up can backfire. I almost feel like an Idaho draft review is completely unnecessary as we all know that the Idaho roster right now will not look anything like the Idaho roster come Christmas time. Wheeler dealer Tuna will be on his way here shortly. Expect a massive influx of emails to your Inbox. New guys - get ready for the offers. Get ready for his unique sales pitch that throws logic out the window and begs you ignore numbers or analytics. Be prepared to learn how average NBA role players could potentially average Oscar Robertson like numbers this season. Idaho is what makes the JBL so great. Carry on kid. Do your stuff. 

Juan de Fuca
As the draft chat room mentioned several times, Juan must be loving that he has Giannis for just $74 dollars. Add in his boy Kawhi for $52 and this squad could be one to watch in 19/20.  There are a few players here with question marks (Payton, Powell, Hardaway Jr) and Juan needs then to perform at a high level. The Toronto boys have 2 Raptors - always a requirement. I like the flyer Juan took on Michael Porter Jr. Now let’s see if Denver plays him. 

Maui
The Ribs had a good draft and grabbed some quality players. Kemba, Conley and Capela are all really good. Sure, Maui overpaid for Capela but he needed the rebounds and blocks. I really liked the late round pick ups of Bertans and Kennard. This squad actually does a little bit of everything and can be a contender if a few things go their way. Sneeky good squad here. 

Norfolk
The good Doctor takes the award for Draft Night dedication in that he skipped out on a wedding in Toronto to attend Chez Kok to do the draft in person. Well done Norfolk. The Doctor has paired his keeper Beal with Jimmy Buckets and also paid big bucks for Rubio.  I do like the late picks of Oubre and McGee as well as my fan favourite Nickeil Alexander-Walker.  Norfolk is coming off a 5th place finish. What’s in store for this team this season?

Seoul
If the JBL was just a points league, Seoul wins. Everyone on his team can score. The question is…what else do they do really well? Seoul begins the campaign without his prized acquisition (Zion) but he does have his boy KYLE to cheer on. I like the Gallinari and Valanciunas picks (as long as they stay healthy). Seoul is a deep team as well and opens with Bogdan Bogdanovic and Evan Fournier on the bench. Let’s see how this big scoring team does this season.

Vancouver
The Jizzlies made the big decision this past week to drop their 2 keepers and their rookie and start from scratch. I applaud the decision. I also commend them for landing KD for $21 bucks. He could be the key to Vancouver’s long term success in the JBL. It’s all about having great keepers and building a winner around them. This team does have very good players in Embiid, Vucevic, Draymond, and Booker. Some good role players in Favors and Dejounte Murray are also here. And finally I liked the late round picks of Rudy Gay $1 and Dario Saric for $3. Vancouver finished 9th last season so we’ll see how they do this season. As long as they end up in a spot where they can keep KD for next season then I would consider the year a success. 

So, here are my top 5 contenders after the draft.

French Lick, Golden, Bangkok, Chilliwack, Maui


That’s it for now boys. The season starts Tuesday night. Have those FA bids in by Friday evening (before 11pm PST). Best of luck to all. 

Thursday, October 10, 2019

Appetizers

Well, with the 29th JBL Auction just 9 days away I thought I would share my thoughts on what I've seen in the NBA preseason. Without further ado...


Houston will score a lot of points thanks to The Beard. With Harden and Westy already in Arctic how many more Rockets actually end up on a JBL roster is interesting. Capela will obviously be a big dollar ticket. Eric Gordon? Probably. But after that? I’m not sure how many more Rockets are JBL worthy.

  Chris Clemons is a straight jacker. Kid’s not shy. Might fit in Houston just fine when Harden’s on the bench. He’s the 3rd all-time leading scorer in NCAA history. He’s also NOT 5’9 that he says he is!

  Looks like Siakam is ready for another step up. Bangkok must be thrilled.


  Chris Boucher, a good Canadian kid, was very impressive in the first pre-season game with the
Raptors. Can he carve out a role?

  Defense is clearly optional in some of these games

  KAT put up a monster line in limited minutes. Benny is excited

  Ben Simmons hit a 3 pointer. I’m surprised we didn’t hear more from Idaho about this
accomplishment. Maybe Tuna is worried about Ben taking multiple 3’s per game and going 3 for
42 from downtown.

  Because I was in the UK last year, I had never seen Trae Young play. He’s impressive. Very quick.
I like that Hawks team. In a couple of years they could be very good.

  The Pelicans will be everyone’s League Pass favourite this season. Zion is a beast. He’s built like a
tank. They are a very deep team so it might be difficult to figure out who is going to play off their bench? What is Josh Hart’s role? E’twaun Moore’s role? Nickeil Alexander-Walker? A lot of interesting wing players to choose from.

  Who is this Chris Silva in Miami?

  Goran Dragic looks old and slow. Oh wait, he is.

  Tyler Herro looks like he’s ready to play. Right now. Will Spoelstra give him the chance?

  DeAndre Ayton put up big numbers in 21 minutes against KAT.

  Tony Bradley can play he just won’t in Utah because he’s behind Rudy Gobert. Two nice games
from Tony.

  Hornets or Wizards? Who will be the worst team? Both look devoid of Fantasy talents which
usually means there are a couple of guys who will have monster years because there is literally
no one else on the team. For the Hornets who is going to score? Has to be Rozier right?

  Denver is too deep. They could roll out 12 guys every night. Bit of a fantasy buzzkill.

  Are DeMarre Carroll and Jae Crowder the same person? Crowder looks like he could be the
starter in Memphis at SF. Didn’t think he’d ever be a starter again – but someone has to score
for this Memphis team. After JJJ, Jonas and Morant is he the #4 scorer?

  Who will be the SG in Memphis? Is it really Dillon Brooks? Hasn’t the coach seen him play?
Maybe Grayson Allen steals the spot? Allen looks decent thru 2 games against non-NBA
opponents.

  Wait. The Bulls are still giving Kris Dunn a chance? You draft White at #7 and then spend 30
million on Satoransky. So, of course, let Dunn play. They have to be show-casing him for a potential deal. Praying and hoping he does well so some desperate team will make them an offer. Dunn playing any PG minutes is just not right.

  Christiano Felicio is a NBA player. Please, someone look at this man. How did he get a 4 year/32 million dollar NBA contract? Please, someone explain this to me.

  Watching Coby White play I think he could be good and those who were picking late in our JBL rookie draft may regret not taking a flyer on him.

  The Lopez brothers together on the same team and on the floor at the same time just makes me happy.

  Steven Adams looked like he was playing in the over 45 Kits Basketball league. He looked scraggly and old; wearing a T-Shirt under his jersey; wearing legging and knee pads; and wearing elbow pads. Dude just looked out of place. Thats why we love him.

  Dragan Bender sighting in Milwaukee. Just move along. Nothing to see here.

  Mo Bamba. Oh my. But where does he get minutes?

  If Christian Wood doesn’t make the Pistons then someone call the police. A crime will have been
committed.

  I believe a Jonathan Isaac breakout is near

  Brandon Ingram does not weigh 150 pounds. He’s stick and bones. Can he survive 82 games and
the pace the Pels are about to run at?

  Could this be the year the Spurs start to fade? I think it’s 22 straight years in the playoffs? Is that
streak in jeopardy? I’m on the fence about how good they are – but I can’t doubt Popovich. So
I’m saying the Spurs will be a playoff team. Oh yeah.

  DeJounte Murray must be excited to finally be back playing. I drafted him last year for $20 and
then he tore his ACL in the pre-season.

  Devin Booker might get some more open shots if Ayton is going to be a monster and with Rubio
pulling the strings. Did Phoenix really run with Elie Okobo, De’Anthony Melton and Tyler Johnson as their point guards last year?? Yeah, I’m boldly predicting some bigger stats for Booker, Ayton and others this season. Shocker.

  The Blazers looked out of sorts last night. I think they will miss Harkless and Aminu even though both of them didn’t put up great fantasy numbers – I think they were decent NBA’ers. Not sure about Hood/Bazemore and others.

  Are the Celti
cs actually going to be good?

  Boban played 31 minutes last night! Is that a real thing? Boban and Porzingis out there together.
Would that be the tallest combo in the NBA?

  Rajon Rondo played 34 minutes and Derrick Rose played 31 minutes. Both appear to have roles
with their teams. Rose I figured as much but Rondo, geesh. And Rondo just did it again vs. a
Kyrie-less Nets team. Is it 2019 or 2013 Rondo?

  AD had 22 and 10 in 18 minutes? Yikes. It’s been 7 years since the JBL saw a $100 dollar player.
Could this be the year?

  Jordan Clarkson showed his coach – hey, don’t just give the keys to the SexLand backcourt duo
(Collin Sexton + Darius Garland = Sexland). He actually looked decent.

  Andre Drummond took a couple 3 pointers. It did not go well. If he’s jacking those, that’s a big
negative.

  Detroit is really just Griffin and Drummond. Without those 2 guys, Im not sure how many games
the Pistons win.

  The Jarrett Allen & DeAndre Jordan center combo could put up monster numbers. Could they
both average a double-double?

  Ummm, Taj Gibson? One of the Knicks 6 power forwards lit it up. Your guess is as good as mine which of these guys are going to play on a nightly basis. Have to figure all of them will have big nights at some point. Seems like Randle and Bobby Portis will be guys they will lean on for frontcourt scoring. 

  Can’t wait to see Marcus Morris play in San Antonio. Remember the Spurs signed him to a 2 year 20 million dollar deal. However, the Spurs needed to make some cap room so they traded Davis Bertans away and then re-structured DeMarre Carroll’s deal. Once they did that, Morris said screw you and signed a 1 year 15 million dollar deal in New York. Dickhead.

  Isnt LeBron poised for a big year? Guy had been to 8 or 9 straight NBA finals and must have been exhausted. In 2019, he missed a tonne of games, got shut down at the end of the season, and has been resting and recovering for 6 months. Now he has Anthony Davis as a wing man...how can he not be ready for a monster season?










Wednesday, October 2, 2019

Top Keepers 2019/20


Thought I would write up who I think the top 10 current keepers are in the JBL. I’m going to exclude the rookies from 2019 at this point until we see how they all pan out. So, what’s my criteria? I’m looking at guys that are obviously under-valued compared to what they would go for in our Auction. I’m also factoring in guys who can also be long term keepers. So someone in Year 2 of a rookie deal might be more valuable than someone on an expiring deal and is going back to Auction next season. (IE. 2 years of De’Aaron Fox or 1 final year of Kristaps Porzingis). 

Maybe this list will spark some trade talks. Maybe it will give you a sense of who I find valuable in the JBL. Who knows. Anyways. On I go.  Let’s count it down from #10 to #1….

#10 – De’Aaron Fox $14 (Golden)
Golden brings back the curly-haired kid for his 2nd season. With a new coach in Sacramento who wants to play faster, Golden is hoping for more improvements from Swipa the Fox. Can he approach 20ppg? Big steals contributor. Good value for Golden.

#9 – Ben Simmons $27 (Idaho)
Simmons is a top end JBL talent. He’s worth way more than this at Auction. He’s in year 4 of his rookie contract so Idaho has him for 2 more seasons (this and 1 more). He’s a 6-category man and definitely a top 15 talent. So, that tells you how much more I like the guys coming up.

#8 – Pascal Siakam $9 (Bangkok)
Pascal is the now the face of the Raptors. His numbers should go up and he could be a 7-category producer. He’s 1/3 of the price of Simmons and still has 2 years on his contract. Bangkok is hoping for big things from the centerpiece of the Zion trade.

#7 – Trae Young $14 (Norfolk)
The long term potential of this kid is trending in the right direction. Could he average 25ppg this season? Maybe. He’ll help your ATO and could really impact the 3PT% category if he gets more consistency. Biggest factor for his ranking is another 4 years on his contract. Great value over the next few years. A cornerstone of the Norfolk franchise.

#6 – Luca Doncic $17 (Brussels)
Love this kid. Fantastic in 4 categories but needs to improve those %’s. His rookie year numbers rivaled MJ’s so the potential for stardom is great. Another 4 years in Brussels I’m sure. Superstar potential in my books.

#5 – Bam Adebayo $15 (Chilliwack)
Benny had a party when Whiteside was traded to Portland. The ‘Free Bam’ chants finally worked. The big fella manning the middle in Miami is likely a 6 category stud with 3 years left on his contract. Should be a double-double machine this season and could approach the famed ‘triple-triple’ (100 steals, 100 blocks). I have high expectations for Bam.

#4 – Jaren Jackson Jr. $15 (Brussels)
The prize acquisition in Brussels last season. His potential is off the charts. Many see a Defensive Player of the Year in his future. He could be a 6 category player this season and has another 4 years on his contract. Bookend building block with Doncic for Team Brussels.

#3 – Mitchell Robinson $8 (French Lick)
This kid is a stud in the making. A shot-blocking extraordinaire. He’s a 4-cat stud right now but plays for Fizdale and the Knicks who have umpteen Power Forwards and big men and that does cause me some concern. That said, he’s got 4 years left on his rookie contract and is only $8 bucks this season. Defensive dynamo!

#2 – DeAndre Ayton $20 (Idaho)
Last year’s #1 pick had a quietly spectacular first NBA season. With a new coach in town, Ayton is projected for big things in 19/20. Could be average 20 and 10? He’s a potential 5 category stud and he’s on the books for another 4 years. Big time cornerstone piece. 

#1 – Karl-Anthony Towns $35 (Chilliwack)
Maybe a controversial choice here because he’s in the 5th and final year of his contract. However, I think KAT could be the #1 fantasy player and whatever we see Giannis and AD go for at Auction – that’s what KAT is worth and more. So, we’re likely looking at least $85+ dollars – so KAT is HUGE savings at just a $35 dollar salary. He’s a 6 category monster who doesn’t miss any games. He’s the #1 keeper going into the 19/20 season.  

Game 7 Tonight!!

OK, it's Game 7 tonight. About 30 minutes away. My thoughts: I want OKC to win I think OKC will win I wouldn't be shocked at all if ...