Wednesday, October 19, 2022

JBL 32 - After the Auction...

 

The aftermath....

 

Friday, October 14th will go down in JBL history. Why? Because my kid (how can he really be 19 years old now?) participated in his very first JBL auction. Sitting at the table with him and Maui it brought back great memories of when the JBL all began. I started the JBL at 17. Ryan is 19. It’s been a LONG time. I never thought that one day my son would be in the JBL…but here we are.

 

It was fun watching Ryan sweat over his bids and seeing the uncertainty of an auction draft. At one point, while bidding for LeBron, he said his heart was beating out of his chest!  All that said, I think he handled himself pretty well for his first ever fantasy draft of any kind.

 

So, as always, people want to know the Godfather’s thoughts on how the Auction played out…

 

Initially, the day after the draft, based on my projections…I thought the JBL was easily split into 3 distinct tiers.  Maui was alone in the top tier. The second tier featured 7-8 teams that all had similar projections and based on their current rosters, I would say had a really good chance at competing for the JBL title. And the 3rd tier was filled with teams with work to do and wishing for some luck.

We all know that the majority of teams will face injuries, make trades and sign Free Agents, so these early season projections are always difficult.

 

I’ll also drop my favourite pick from draft night for each team.  

 

Maui was a cut above everyone else. It wasn’t close (and still isn’t really). His keeper core of Embiid, LaMelo, Bane, and Mobley was outstanding. He added a very good rookie at pick 13 in Jeremy Sochan. Since he made that pick it looks like Sochan is going to start at PF for the Spurs. The rich may have gotten richer since he would be his PLUS ONE keeper. Anyways, Maui got a potential steal in Damian Lillard at $40. Take out his injury-riddled last season and Dame averaged 29ppg and 30ppg the prior 2 years. He’s had a year off to rest and recover. I think the potential is there for a big scoring season. Maui also added the aging Chris Paul. Yes, he’s 37 years old. Last 3 seasons he’s played 65, 70 and 70 games. Maybe diet does mean something. I should take note.

 

Maui is the oldest JBL team (tied with Cali) at an average age of 29 years old. It’s filled with veterans like Lowry, Hayward, Seth Curry, Aaron Gordon, and Finney-Smith. Solid role guys that need to stay healthy. There aren’t many projected weaknesses on this squad so we’ll have to see if they can stay healthy. Last year, I projected Maui 4th in the pre-season ranks and he ended up winning…so there.

Favourite pick – Isaiah Jackson for $22. I know it’s pricey but if Indy flips Myles and I-Jax is turned loose – he could be a blocks monster.

 

French Lick came in at #2 in my pre-season ranks. Why? Just because they’ve been 1st or 2nd for 8 years straight.  I will say I was a bit surprised to see French land the big ticket item in Jokic. French typically goes the balanced route but here we are again looking at a very strong French squad. No matter what method he uses – he puts out strong teams. Outside of Joker, I’m not sure this team has any All Stars. He might have the ROY in Paolo. But I do know they are just deep and do everything well.  Always fun to watch French at work. French was ranked 2nd last pre-season – he finished 2nd in the standings – and I’m putting them right back into 2nd again.

Favourite pick – Caleb Martin for $3. The starting PF on a very good Miami team. Yes please.

 

I had Chilliwack in the 3 hole. The guy who had $40 bucks left for 2 players at auction. Benny was controlling the late part of the draft. Another deep and talented team here. Is this the year that Luka wins MVP?  Will Okongwu overtake Capela in ATL? Will Monte Morris be the PG Washington has been looking for? Where does Mike Conley play most of his games? Will Jalen Duren become the monster Center that Detroit wants? Lots of interesting story lines to watch for this very good Wack squad.

I ranked Wack 7th last pre-season and they finished 4th.

Favourite pick – Will Barton for $4 – just because he came up for auction 4th overall after featuring in the rookie draft pick swap that saw Bangkok acquire his services only to be dropped a week later. 

 

Brussels came in at #4.  Again, some interesting things to watch for….can Ben Simmons find his old form? Will Lauri Markannen be the #1 in Utah – and what does that look like – can he average 20ppg? Does Brunson become a New York legend (I’m guessing yes)? Is Walker Kessler the next Mark Eaton?  I know Brussels loves his 2nd round rookie Jovic – can he be the latest great find in Miami? Brussels is one of the youngest rosters in the JBL but they appear to be very good on paper. I ranked Brussels 1st last preseason and they finished 6th so they clearly he won’t mind this lower ranking.

Favourite pick – Ayo Dosunmu for $4. Starting PG’s are always nice to grab for cheap.

 

I’m putting the Golden squad at #5. I’ve finished 5th two years straight so why not start off here. Many of you know I wasn’t happy post-draft. And it’s not because the team isn’t projected to do OK – part of me just feels like I let my kid (and myself) down. He’s watched me talk JBL for many years and then I drafted this team? I was giving him pointers on how to handle the pressure and how to budget. And then I waffle on picks? I overspend on others? I auto-drafted Ricky Rubio because I wasn’t ready. Not my best work. That said, analytically, this team could be OK. This is year 4 of my Nurkic being in Golden and my love/hate relationship with him. I have bad feelings. The final year of SGA is ahead. All 5 in Golden. Not a bad $1 rookie all those years ago. I have to admit I have fallen for Tari Eason much like I did for SGA all those years ago. I like the looks of that youngster I tell ya. Anyways, we’ll see how this squad gets on. I ranked Golden 3rd last preseason and finished 5th.

Favourite pick – one of my only pre-draft targets I actually secured was Jaylen Nowell for $1. A per-minute monster last season in Minny I’m hoping he can expand his role on the highest scoring team in the NBA.

 

I have the Kok in 6th.  Last year, as he well noted, I ranked the Kok as 10th and they wound up in 3rd place (although they spent most of the year in 2nd). How could I be so wrong?? Well, I think Mr. Haliburton’s arrival in Kokville had a BIG factor in the move up the standings. I’ll spend some more time on this Kok squad because the readership is quite low and frankly he might be one of the only people who really cares what is written in this space. That’s why I love Bangkok. LOL.

This Kok squad was loaded with good keepers to start the auction. Keeping Scary Terry for $11 might have been a stronger play (since he went for $30) than keeping Herbalife Jones – but we’ll see.

Drafting a stud like Jayson Tatum was a strong and bold move and based on his opening night performance certainly appears to be worth every penny. Strong secondary pieces in Wood and OG will provide some support to that strong keeper core of Dejounte, Edwards, and Haliburton.  There are a lot of question marks to watch with this squad. Does Suggs learn how to shoot (he was 36/21% last year)? Does Patrick Williams make a leap? How does Darius Bazley get on in OKC (another poor shooter at 42/29%)? Can Mark Williams beat out Mason Plumlee for minutes?? I do like Williams a lot as a prospect. Does Jaden McDaniels get to touch the ball in Minny?  I like this squad, I do, and it has a chance to compete for sure.

Favourite pick – Andre Drummond for $3 bucks. If he gets even close to 20 minutes he will be a nice source of rebounds and stocks. When other backups like Hartenstein and Isaiah Jackson were going in the $20’s – Drummond is a bargain.

 

I have Cali in 7th to start the year. The theme team is over it appears but it does still feature Vucevic, Valanciunas and Porzingis. Add those 3 to James Harden and Paul George – who I both thought should have gone for more – and this team has potential. Love the rookie Jabari Smith.  Sure wish Timelord could stay healthy. This opening night lineup in Cali is quality. Last year I ranked Cali 9th in the preseason ranks and they finished 9th…hmmmm. Not bad.

Favourite pick – Porzingis for $36. This could be the ultimate risk/reward pick. This is the big swing for the fences. Love it.  

 

I have Seoul in 8th to start the season. I think Seoul has maybe 6 guys that could average 20ppg maybe. Highest scoring JBL team by a mile but some other holes to fill. Last year I ranked Seoul 5th to start the year and they finished 8th. Seoul cashed in his chips to get Scottie and Morant for this season so let’s see how that plays out. Highest paid guy is $37 bucks – talk about balance. Who is going to block shots on this team? Brook and ??? Lots of 3pt gunners but will the percentage be OK?  One thing we know about Seoul is that he still has 2-3 trades with Bangkok coming so this team will certainly change in the coming months.

Favourite pick – Jaylen Brown for $37 – just so French couldn’t get one of his cornerstones back.

 

I have ‘The Kid” in Dayton ranked at 9th in his first ever preseason rank. Can we just appreciate again the nuance and style of this team name again as well. From the original franchise Dayton Yer Sistas where Cord would make crude comments about Trev’s sister and Mom – to the now modern age Dayton yer Daughters play on words. For all you JBL owners with daughters (and that’s a lot of you)…this is brilliant (and creepy) if I do say so myself. I enjoyed watching Ryan prepare for this draft. He had his targets and budgets and he did pretty well. We knew LeBron, his GOAT, would be going to Dayton. We knew any Hornets players would likely be targets. Rozier, PJ, Plumlee and even prisoner Miles all ended up in Dayton. On paper, the team is pretty good and I actually think it has a greater chance of finishing higher than this rank at the end of the season. All of this and he will still have Chet for year 2. I like what the kid did here. The Godfather is proud.

Favourite pick(s) – all the Hornets. As many of you know, Ryan and I watched probably 65+ Hornets games last year. I hope we can do that again. It’s my chance to hang out with him and watch the games.  He loves watching them so he drafted as many as he could. We all remember the Golden Sonics theme teams of the 90’s. Like father, like son. 

 

I have Arctic in 10th to start the year. Last year I had them 13th in the preseason and they ended up 10th. I actually really liked the big 3 they grabbed. Well, I say that begrudgingly because I wanted at least one of those 3 centers. Arctic starts the year with a big 5 (ok, maybe 6) and will need to work the waiver wire or make a deal to balance out the roster.  Maybe one day I should go this route because you know I love to find my FA gems.

My favourite pick was the $1 dollar auto draft of Grant Williams. With no Timelord and no Gallinari this little bowling ball could be quite valuable.

 

I have Juan de Fuca in 11th to start the year. Last time around it was a 6th place preseason rank but they finished 11th. Losing Michael Porter Jr (who is back again) for the season was a big factor in that last season. I like KAT, I like Sabonis, I like Booker. I like this core. Again, it’s the other pieces I will be watching. Can MPJ stay healthy? Can Hunter live up to that 4/95 contract? Is Kendrick Nunn good? Can Simons still be the monster WITH Lillard playing? Again, lots of potential here for this team to move up the standings.

Favourite pick – Kendrick Nunn for $3. I’ve had him before. He can be sneaky good and with the Westbrook situation who knows…

 

I have Idaho in 12th to start the year. I actually have him higher, slightly, but ranking him here gets him fired up and creates more buzz for the JBL masses. A fired up Idaho is a FUN Idaho. There are lots of good players in this squad. Zion, Trae, Ayton, Fox, Murray x2, Ingram and on and on….But there are also a lot of question marks. We’ve already seen Montrezl and Thybulle play (or not play) limited minutes. What will John Wall do?  Big wildcard in Westbrook. Jonathan Isaac? He could be great or he might not play at all.  Can JJJ stay healthy?  Anyways, I don’t need to go on because this Idaho roster won’t look anything like this by Xmas. Idaho was ranked 11th to start last season and he got to 8th.  We look forward to the umpteem thousand trade offers in the coming 7 months.

Favourite pick – Jaren Jackson Jr for $10 bucks was good value. Will he be back sooner or later? He’s a sure fire keeper at that price if he can stay healthy (see what I’m doing here, increasing the hype on JJJ so we all get ridiculous offers this weekend)

 

I have Bellingham in 13th to start the season. Last year they ranked 12th to start the year and finished 13th. This is the ‘show me’ year for Bellingham.  Season 4 about to launch with previous campaigns of 13th, 9th, and 13th…time to make the move!

Starting with a $7 dollar Kawhi always helps.  Adding in Giannis and AD create a BIG 3 but who else will provide a big fantasy season? Will the new contract boys, Poole and Herro, earn their dough? Is Tre Jones the man in SA? Can Dinwiddie retain his Dallas form?  Can Oubre do what Miles did last season? Will Cole Anthony emerge over Fultz?  Loads of questions – like every other team.

Favourite pick – Josh Primo for $1. Good Canadian kid and he’s getting the ‘Kawhi’ treatment?? Hmmm. https://airalamo.com/posts/san-antonio-spurs-josh-primo-kawhi-leonard-treatment

 

Unfortunately, Norfolk starts the this season ranked where he finished the last one – 14th. His pre-season rank last year was also 14th so I’m sure he’s hoping I’m wrong this time around. This new Norfolk squad has the makings of a much better team anyways with Durant, Jimmy Buckets, DeRozan, Mitchell, and Jerami Grant on board – just to name a few. The Doctor spent big dollars on Collin Sexton so we’ll see how that one plays out. Caruso and Alvarado should grab plenty of steals. Mathurin could be a really fun rookie to watch. This squad might have five guys who could average 20+ PPG so I’m sure Norfolk is much more excited about this roster’s potential.

Favourite pick – Alex Caruso for $2. Another former Shower and he has a chance to play a lot with Lonzo out. A fun player to watch.

 

Bringing up the rear in their first ever JBL season and pre-season rank – is the Happy Valley Vandalizers.  Our opening night leaders may have peaked but who knows. This squad will need a lot of things to go right to be competitive in year 1. But stranger things have happened in the JBL. I like the Keldon Johnson pick. I can only imagine it won’t be long before Bangkok tries to acquire him. James Wiseman for $26 was interesting. Let’s see how they manage their Free Agents. Let’s see what a Happy trade offer looks like. Lots of unknowns with this team and owners still.

Favourite pick – Getting Evan Fournier for $1 was good business.

OK, that's it for now...thanks to Maui for inspiring this one and keeping an annual tradition alive. 

 

 

Thursday, October 6, 2022

JBL ROOKIE DRAFT RESULTS 2022

Results

JBL Rookie Draft Order

ROUND 1
1. Dayton $15 - Chet Holmgren
2. French Lick $12 - Paolo Banchero
3. Cali $10 - Jabari Smith
4. Idaho $9 - Keegan Murray
5. Arctic $8 - Jaden Ivey
6. Bellingham $7 - Johnny Davis
7. Seoul $6 - Jalen Williams
8. Norfolk $5 - Bennedict Mathurin
9. Juan de Fuca $4 - Shaeden Sharpe
10. Chilliwack $3 - Jalen Duren
11. Brussels $2 - Walker Kessler
12. Bangkok $1 - Mark Williams
13. Maui $1 - Jeremy Sochan
14. Golden $1 - Tari Eason
15. Happy Valley $1 - Jake LaRavia

ROUND 2
16. Happy Valley $1 - Ousmane Dieng
17. Golden $1 - Dyson Daniels
18. Maui $1 - Christian Koloko
19. Chilliwack $1 -Ocahi Agbaji
20. Brussels $1 - Nikola Jovic
21. Bangkok $1 - PASS
22. Juan de Fuca $1 - Patrick Baldwin Jr
23. Norfolk $1 - Kenny Lofton Jr
24. Seoul $1 - PASS
25. Bellingham $1 - PASS
26. Arctic $1 - PASS
27. Idaho $1 - AJ Griffin
28. Cali $1 - PASS
29, French Lick $1 - Dalen Terry
30. Dayton $1 - PASS 

Some comments:

- Chet is the Unicorn swing for the fences. Sure, Paolo or Jabari could have gone #1 but I like the new kid on the block has the patience to build a strong core. Plus, Chet could be a 'free' keeper with the new PLUS ONE rule now in effect.

- Paolo, Jabari, Keegan, Jaden - the top 5 picks in this rookie draft were clear as day. Only suspense was in what order. Liked all of these. 

- I like Jalen Williams in OKC a lot. I think he can start.

- I like the 3 big Centers. Duren, Kessler and Williams.  Playing time will be the key for all of them. Duren could start in Detroit really quickly. Kessler is the only true big body in Utah and blocked almost 5 shots a game in college. Utah has their modern day Mark Eaton. And Mark Williams only has to beat out Mason Plumlee (and Nick Richards apparently) as coach Clifford hates rookies. All good long term options.

- Love the Sochan pick. On a bad Spurs team he's a tenacious defender and reminds many of Rodman. 

- I will say I was happy (and surprised) that Tari Eason was available for me at 14. He had a fantastic summer league and has great potential in Houston with an agin Eric Gordon likely on the way out and role player Jae'Sean Tate in front of him. Plus, little known fact, his hands are 9.25 inches...almost the same as Kawhi's. Hmmm.

- I was hoping Jake LaRavia fell to me at 17. Good pick from Happy Valley.

- Shocked to see Dyson Daniels, the #8 pick in the NBA draft, still there at 17. I'll take a chance. Yes, the Pelicans are stacked but this kid gives off Giddey vibes. 

- Honestly I was shocked to see Johnny Davis go at 6. Maybe Bellingham knows something. 

- Little surprised to see Sharpe go at 7 as well. He is a boom or bust project with PDX and all signs point to him being really good. But will he play this year? Will the Blazers use him as trade bait to get another star? 

- Finally, I love the Kenny Lofton Jr pick. Dude is a wrecking ball. A baby Zach Randolph. I hope he sticks in Memphis and gets some run. He's so much fun to watch. 

So how many of the 24 rookies remain on their original drafted teams? I'm going to say 10-12.  And I will say that adding the 2nd round of rookies was a lot of fun. It also adds another part of a trade chip for JBL deals. Will be fun to see it play out. 

Game 7 Tonight!!

OK, it's Game 7 tonight. About 30 minutes away. My thoughts: I want OKC to win I think OKC will win I wouldn't be shocked at all if ...