Monday, April 11, 2022
Season in Review - The Middle Tier
Season in Review - The Money Teams
Another year, another first time JBL champion. Congrats again to the
Maui Ribs for a completely dominant performance all year long. I’ve already
said it here, but Maui was in 2nd after week 1 and then never
trailed again. Sure, there was a couple moments when Bangkok passed him during
an evening in Week 23/24, but the Kok never finished the night in 1st
place. That’s what I call sheer dominance from Maui. And even with all the
tanking shenanigans, I don’t believe the outcome would have changed at all.
Maui won by 125 points. It wasn’t really that close. In the last 4 weeks,
22-25, in the weekly standings, Maui was 2nd, 1st, 2nd,
and 2nd. He wasn’t fading away. Anyways, let’s dive deeper into some
of these JBL teams and performances.
Starting with champs, a lot of things obviously went right for the Ribs.
First off, getting Joel Embiid in a MVP-type season for $46 bucks at
auction? Come on. Amazing value. Look at
what guys like KAT, Jokic, Gobert, and Giannis went for. Embiid for $46 was an absolute steal. Then a
career scoring season from DeMar DeRozan. Yes please. LaMelo became an
All-Star. Mobley is likely the ROY. Desmond Bane could be the most improved
player (18ppg and 44% from deep). The list goes on and on. FVV scored 20+
points, ATO was 2.553, and snagged 112 steals while shooting 37.7% from deep.
Aaron Gordon went from 4th option to 2nd option in Denver
and averaged 15 and 6 on 52% shooting. The scary part is that this team could
have been better. Lonzo only played 35 games for Maui and Draymond only played
43. With those 2 healthy, Maui was top ATO in the JBL. Regardless, Maui’s 1216
point total is now the 2nd highest total in JBL history. And while
every great JBL team has it’s stars and breakout guys – it’s often the “role”
players that can change your fortunes. I look at guys like Plumlee and Powell
for low key big man stats. A guy like De’Anthony Melton had 104 steals. Even Bledsoe, Gay and Brissett provided value
on weeks when others were out injured. Maui put it all together this year and
is fully deserving of the JBL title. And you can expect this Ribs team to be
contending again as there are loads of potential keepers to choose from.
Lamelo, Mobley, Bane and Embiid would top my list.
French Lick moved into 2nd place in the last 5 minutes of
the NBA season. So late in fact, I had already given 2nd to Bangkok
and posted that on the JBL site. Little did I know that Klay Thompson wanted to
score 40+ points and his 3PT shooting would ultimately impact 4 JBL teams. His
7/14 performance from downtown and 41 point effort moved him up 2 spots in 3PT%
and up one spot in scoring vaulting him passed Bangkok for 2nd
place. His move also cost Idaho 7th place and dropped him down to 8th
which allowed Seoul to narrowly finish in 7th. I think I’ve already written more about
French than I have all season. They just hung around. All year. And then
whammo, on the last night, they climb into 2nd to keep an
unbelievable streak alive. For now 8 straight years, French has either won the JBL
or finished 2nd. I’ll say that again, 8 straight years of 1st
or 2nd. Dynasty.
French has used his Celtic dup of Tatum and Brown to lead the charge for the last couple of years.
However, they both head back to auction and I’m curious as to what they will go
for. I know Norfolk will be bidding them up as he’s always interested in French
targets (and so we all should be). French did everything well except scoring (8th).
And I can’t help but think having LeBron (56) and CP3 (65) and Klay (32) play
less than a full season really impacted that. That said, CP3 finished with a
4.590 ATO. You read that right. Horford, Zubac, Adams, and Mitch Rob anchored
the big man stats. Jarred Vanderbilt is an emerging fantasy player. And then
guys like Tobias Harris, Seth Curry and Norm Powell, while boring, just get the
job done. French gets 4 keeper spots and
my leading candidates for those are Klay, Vanderbilt, Horford, and Mitchell
Robinson. Guess where I’ll be ranking French in my offseason rankings.
Bangkok was the 2nd best team this season. But they
finished 3rd. Either way, no one remembers (unless you’re French and have this incredible 8 year streak running). Anyways, the Kok exceeded all
expectations. Coming out of draft night, I had them ranked 11th but
that quickly changed. For me, the trade of Herro for Haliburton was the first turning
point. Of course, Dejounte’s first All Star season also had something to do
with the Kok surge. Ant Edwards and Don
Mitchell scored the dickens out of the ball. Capela, Ayton, and Wendell got the
big man stats (outside of blocks). And Herb Jones became a thing of folk lore.
Seriously, for all the credit Matisse Thybulle gets, watch this kid and look at
his stock totals. The January trade (2nd turning point) with Seoul where the Kok gave up Scottie Barnes
(and RJ and Diallo) for Ayton, Rozier and Hart was brilliantly one-side for the
Kok. These are the type of deals you have to make in order to give a title run
a chance. Rozier scored 20+, had a 3.797 ATO, shot 45.37, and grabbed 1.4
steals in Kokland. And Josh Hart averaged 18 and 7 while shooting 50% in Kokville. The
majority of the role players Kok used this year were also really good. Aside
from Jones, look at Hartenstein, Brown, and Kennard. All put up serviceable
numbers. The
Kok should be ready to contend again next season as he has 7-8 potential
keepers. It appears that Dejounte, Haliburton and Edwards are all locks so who
will get that 4th spot? Herb? Scary Terry? Josh? Johnson? The summer
months will tell…
The Wack certainly made some impactful moves over the course of the
season. He said goodbye to Bam Adebayo and Ja Morant and welcomed Luka and KD. 4th
place wasn’t decided until the very final day of the season but it was Luka and
KD (and Ayo Dosumnu, who Golden traded to the Wack) that helped the Wack secure
it. If I asked you which 3 players played the most man games for the Wack this
season would you guess Russell Westbrook, Harrison Barnes and Jae’Sean Tate? I
didn’t think so. While the Wack didn’t employ the ‘draft 3 big guys for high
prices’ at auction – he ultimately found himself using this as the year went
on. KD, Luka and Gobert filled out those roles. Ultimately, 12th in
ATO and 9th in steals didn’t allow the Wack to make a push for the
title. This was a very good team though and had a bunch of guys that are easy
to cheer for (Finney-Smith, Barton, Claxton). I would think that getting just 9
games from Malcolm Brogdon has to be a massive disappointment. So, who are the
Wack’s 4 keepers for next season? Luka is a no-brainer in what will be his 5th
and final season before going back to auction. And then who? Barton for $8? The
All Star Andrew Wiggins for $24? Barnes for $14? One of the role players? Benny
will have some decisions to make.
OK, that’s all for today….Next up the middle tiers of the JBL….
Sunday, April 3, 2022
Week 25 - Preview
ATO - Kok is at 2.076 and Bellingham is at 2.082. So very possible. Also, Maui is at 2.054 and Idaho is at 2.041. So there could be some movement here.
Tuesday, March 29, 2022
Week 23/24 - Still too close to call...
I'm blurring Week 23 and 24 into one post. The nightly drama between Maui and Bangkok continues and I really do expect that the final night, Saturday, April 10th, will be the deciding night. I'm told that Maui will be in transit and might not be able to see the drama unfold live. I know I will be glued to the boxscores and Live Scoring page to see how it all plays out.
As I write this, Maui is at 1242 and Bangkok is at 1122. But there is still lots of room for Bangkok (and French) to climb the points ladder.
Could you imagine, after all the talk about Maui and Bangkok, if French Lick swooped in during the last win to claim another title? That would be crazy.
Looking at the totals, I kind of feel like this (1242) is Maui's peak total. Maybe he could get to 1255 with some ATO luck, but this feels like his max point total. Which remember would be an all-time JBL record.
Bangkok is at 1122 but can actually, quite realistically, get to 1261. That would require the sun and moon and all worlds aligning perfectly, but it is actually possible. So that's why I'm saying it's not over.
And while French coasts along in 3rd place, they could still get to the 1175 region. So you just never know.
The other races of interest:
- 4th place is still up for grabs. Brussels has the inside track. Golden is hanging around the Wack could still be a factor as well.
- 7th/8th place looks to be a battle between Seoul and Idaho. Either way, both appear to be locks to get 3 keepers.
- 9th to 11th appear to be locked in some order - Arctic, Juan and Cali
- 12th/13th - a bit of a late season surge from Bellingham and disinterest from Vancouver means 12th place is still up for grabs. While it doesn't mean much overall - getting a 2nd keeper could be a real value for one team.
And while Norfolk is destined for 14th and no keepers, I give the Doctor full credit for signing Free Agents to the bitter end. Full commitment to the craft and trying to improve and he gets an A for effort from me.
Other random thoughts:
- Did anyone else see what Isaiah Roby and Drew Eubanks did last night? Career nights at the right time for Golden.
- Tanking is reaching new levels and this really does enforce the idea that JBL teams should keep some Free Agent dollars for the late season bargains. While grabbing the star FA's early in the season can be important - so too can getting the late season tank stars.
- Will Zion really get traded this offseason? I didn't think that the Pelicans would ever consider it after having to move on from Anthony Davis - but can they really afford to keep him and pay him max dollars?
- I know for Fantasy that Jokic is still the MVP - but I'm going with Dejounte Murray as my Fantasy MVP. He has been the Viagra for Kok this season. I still think Kok might have the toughest keeper decisions we've seen in awhile for a JBL owner. Getting those 4 keepers right will be important for Kok to come back and be a contender again next season. For the rest of us, as the summer progresses, it will be interesting to see which guys the Kok will be parting with. I think he has 8 options for keepers and will only be able to keep 4 of them. Count me as intrigued.
- The Brussels team is very impressive considering they are in 4th and haven't been able to add any Free Agents since essentially the start of 2022. Outside of Simmons, the team has remained pretty healthy for most of the year and still look to be the favourite to grab 4th and 4 keepers. Imagine if Brussels had used the $45 he spent on Simmons on another player of that caliber.
- I laughed at Andre Drummond's quote about whether he'd be back in Brooklyn next season. No. That was pretty much his answer. I wonder where he ends up? As bad as he might be in real life, he can certainly stuff the fantasy boxscore when he gets minutes. He has 71 steals and 61 blocks in 66 games in 19 minutes a game.
- The other JBL team with some difficult keeper decisions will be Arctic. With only 2 spots likely available and Kyrie, Maxey, Jalen Green, Tyler Herro, and Kyle Kuzma to choose from - who gets the axe?
Monday, March 21, 2022
Week 22 - The Bangkok Attack
As week 22 in the JBL wraps up, we are looking at a very tight race a top the standings. Maui is at 1177 and Bangkok is at 1135. The gap is just 42 and in fact, at one point, was just 29 points as Kok hit 1148 briefly.
Can the Kok do it? A few weeks ago I would have said probably not. But now, with the stars aligning, I definitely believe the Kok can do it. Will he? Well, let's see what the final 3 weeks bring.
How does the Kok reach the top of the mountain? Well, there are actually lots of avenues which has to be concerning for Maui. What categories should we be watching for the final weeks?
3PT%
Currently, the Kok sits 3rd (36.5%) but has room to gain 26 points with some continued to good shooting from deep. Look at these 3% numbers from last week. Hart 46%, Mitchell 47%, Edwards 52%, Rozier 44% and JJJ 46%. Can they keep it up or will they regress to the norm? For the season - Hart 34%, Mitchell 36%, Edwards 35%, Rozier 38% and JJJ 32%. Whether this bunch stays hot from downtown or not could mean some additional points for the Kok.
Maui sits at 36.2% but could be a hot streak away from getting back in the mix.
ATO
Kok and Bellingham are essentially tied at 2.067 but Kok gets the nod based on percentage points. That's a big 13 points for Kok to hold onto. And Maui is lurking behind at 2.041 so it's not out of the question that they make a late run. Draymond is back and FVV should help. Maui sure could use Lonzo about now but he doesn't appear close to returning.
BLOCKS
The Kok could gain 52 points in a perfect world. There are 5 teams within 10 blocks so I think we should see some movement here in the coming weeks.
FG%
The Kok (47.7%) had caught Cali (47.8%) briefly last night so this is another potential 13 points for the Kok. Of course, Golden (47.6%) is right on the Kok's heels and might be a concern.
Maui and Seoul are deadlocked (Seoul ahead by fractions) at 46.4% and Maui could use a +13 here.
POINTS
Bangkok is now within 100 points of Golden which would give him another +20 in the standings. The Wack is just 46 points behind the Kok though so there is some movement possibilities here both ways for the Kok.
STEALS
Bangkok has a 15 steal lead on Maui. That might be too large a gap to make up but you never know these days. That's a 26 point swing if Maui could somehow catch the Kok.
REBOUNDS
Maui is just 4 rebounds ahead of the Kok now. This would be a 30 point swing if it happens. Just this category alone would move the current standings to 1162 to 1150 for Maui - meaning the Kok would only need 13 more points to get into the lead.
Kok and Maui were the top rebounding teams last week (273 to 248) so the Kok does have the horses to out-rebound the Ribs.
For me, it's 3PT%, Blocks and Rebounds that will decide the title now. If Kok stays hot, there's over 100 points available to him still. That would obviously put him in rarified air and well over 1200 points. Can they do it? Only time will tell.
What I do know is that 2 things will likely happen this season....
1) We will see another NEW 1st time JBL title winner
2) French's streak of 7 consecutive 1st or 2nd finishes will come to an end.
Buckle up...the last few weeks should be very entertaining.
Monday, March 14, 2022
Week 21 - Random Thoughts
- Can
Bangkok make a late charge? He was
within 100 points on the weekend. This Kok team is not going away
- All that
said, French still hanging around. When CP3 went down I thought that was it for
them. I didn’t factor in 37 year old LeBron going mental
- It
almost feels anti-climatic if someone catches Maui now. They’ve been the best
team all year. In 1st place since week 2.
- Looks
like 4th is between the Wack and Brussels but I am still hopeful,
slightly, that my Golden rejects can make a late season charge. I feel like my
Golden boys are like the Canucks – dreaming of the playoffs (or JBL 4th)
when really chances are slim.
- To start
Week 22 Maui is at 1203, Bangkok at 1089 and French at 1085
- Brussels
at 901, Wack at 897 and Golden at 845
- My
lineup for Week 22 features 8 Free Agents. My overall salary is $201 and my
active roster is just $102 dollars. There is no way I should have a chance.
- Keep an
eye on 3PT% as Arctic/Maui/Bangkok are all at 36.1% - could be a swing category
- Watch
ATO as Bangkok/Maui/Bellingham are all pretty tight
- Blocks
is interesting too as Golden and Cali are proving to be a thorn in Kok’s tip as
we keep that category interesting
- FG% is
close – Maui could do with catching Seoul and Golden is right on Kok’s tail
- Scoring
is really balanced and even. 9 teams in the 11000’s. 4 teams within 41 points
(6th to 9th in points)
- Kok
caught Maui in steals. 26 point swing on the line here.
- Rebounds
is also tight. Maui is just 29 boards ahead of the Kok
- Maui
really needs VanVleet, Draymond and Lonzo to return ASAP. Looks like Fred and
Draymond are back this week so that’s going to help in a number of categories. The
challenge might still be teams resting players down the stretch.
- Some
other things I’m watching or thinking about….
§ If Arctic only gets 2 keepers – who will they
be? So many good options. Kyrie. Maxey. Green. Herro.
§ Jalen Green is really coming on as of late. Could
he be the future star that everyone predicted?
§ Can Arctic catch Juan? The gap is only 43
points to start the week. Both teams have room to grow in the PTS category so
it will be interesting to watch. Getting a 3rd keeper can be a big
deal.
§ Who will Idaho’s 2 keepers be – Zion, Jamal
Murray and Trae for 2 spots
§ Bellingham is showing signs of life. They are
in 12th to start Week 22. So maybe Kawhi does get a keeper buddy for
next season? Cole Anthony? Saddiq Bey?
§ And what’s happening to the Jizzlies? Fading
away. Not having PG13 for ages hurts. And now no CJ McCollum. They might be
looking at just Cade Cunningham for next season.
§ Golden is likely getting just 3 keepers. I’m likely
keeping Giddey because of his potential. And I need someone to give me the
potential to do a shotgun beer. I gotta keep Garland coming off his All Star
season. But who gets the 3rd spot? Is it SGA for $21 or Miles
Bridges for $19? SGA has been on fire as of late but earlier this season he was
average at best. Miles stuffs the categories but is atrocious from downtown
(SGA has been horrid as well this year from deep). Soooo, I’ll be watching the
offseason closely. Does Miles stay in Charlotte? He’s a restricted FA and could
get a big offer. If John Collins can get 5/125 – what is Miles worth? Probably
the same? I also think of Miles as the 3rd option in Charlotte (behind
LaMelo and Rozier) even though he leads the team in scoring. Funny.
Monday, March 7, 2022
Week 20 - Three Things....
The JBL chat board is quiet. The JBL banter is quiet. While JBL teams can still make trades – I don’t think there are a lot of offers floating around out there. Is the JBL season already over? Have we all just accepted our plot in the standings?
I will say,
and maybe I say it every year, because we use a season long rotisserie style
league – at this stage of the season (75% complete) – it’s really hard to
drastically move up or down in the standings. So be it.
So what am I
going to talk about in Week 20? I could discuss why Maui is going to win. But I
will save that for the last couple weeks. I could discuss where the rest of us
went wrong. But most of us know those reasons already.
So I’m going
back to my pie-in-the-sky JBL ideas. Maybe one day we can do our AGM at a
restaurant or a backyard patio again like we did many years ago. Would be great
to see the JBL gang all together again.
1)
Expansion.
I’d love to see the JBL go to 15 teams. Whether it’s my son Ryan, a colleague
at my work, or I’m told we have other interested parties who want to join – I’m
fine with expansion. Currently, with 14 teams and 16 players per team, the JBL
uses 224 NBA players on JBL rosters. Adding a 15th team pushes that
total to 240 – another 16 players. Everyone says that weakens the FA pool. OK.
Fair enough. But I would also say there are a handful of guys that SHOULD have
been drafted on JBL auction night as they all go for BIG bucks when the first
night of Free Agency comes around. Adding another team, to me, just means all
those early free agents get drafted at auction. A quick review indicates that
our opening night of Free Agency saw 14 players signed (almost another full JBL
roster) and included guys like Tyrese Maxey, Jalen Brunson, Coby White, Cody
Martin, Jarred Vanderbilt and others. The 2nd night of free agency
saw Lu Dort, Ant Simons, Alex Caruso and Kevin Love all signed as Free Agents.
So, initially, there are good players that don’t get drafted at Auction. I
think the pool is deep enough to support a 15th team.
2)
Expanded
rosters. Currently, it’s 12 starters, 3 bench and 1 injured reserve spot. While
I had previously been on the 15 total players bandwagon I’m now on the 16
players total bandwagon. Get rid of IR and just have 12 starters and 4 bench
players. Doesn’t matter if they are injured or not. Just give JBL teams more
depth and options. And currently, 11 of 14 teams have 16 players on their
roster anyway.
3)
I’m
also a big fan of adding a 2nd round to the JBL rookie draft. All 2nd
round picks would be $1 dollar. Teams could have the option to ‘PASS’ if they
didn’t like the looks of anyone. Currently, there are 17 NBA rookies on JBL
rosters and 26 rookies have spent time on JBL rosters this season so we do like
our rookies and taking chances on them. So why not add this option at the start
of the season? At the end of every JBL auction teams are scrambling for $1
dollar players to take fliers on. Having a 2nd rookie pick already
on JBL rosters reduces our auction time and let’s teams take fliers on players
early on in the season. A 2 round rookie draft could mean up to 28 rookies get
drafted. Of course, teams could pass if they want to and many teams don’t put
much stock into rookies but it could be another trade options for teams. While
a 2nd rookie pick isn’t for everyone, I think it would add a little
bit of strategy and fun for those owners who like to take chances on the young
guys. If you don't want a 2nd rookie - you don't have to draft one. Simple as that.
I’ve got
some other ones but these are relatively easy in my mind….
That’s it
for this week. Short and sweet.
JBL 35 - Golden's 12th title
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