Monday, April 12, 2010

3 Days To Go!

Sorry boys, I haven't had as much time as I would have liked to post on here. I will try to do better.

I am online watching live right now as Seoul reaches 900 points and my Golden squad has slipped back to 871. Arctic has passed me in rebounds (as I predicted they would all along). I'm not sure if my remaining man games will be enough to catch him. Why can't Orlando rest Howard?? Come on!

Big battle going on for 3rd as French (807), Bangkok (806) and Chilliwack (802) are all right there. Apparently Benny has already conceded to Bangkok that the Fighters squad was superior this season. Well, well, well, it looks like the Offs are going to make a last second run.

Brussels has pulled ahead of Belgrade for 10th (currently up 424 to 369). Can Brussels hang on for that 2 keeper spot? If that happens - he will be ranked quite high in my off season power rankings.

So, can Woo be caught?? I don't think so. I would need 29 points currently to catch him. Well, I could maybe pass Boston in ATO. I would have to pass the Wack in blocks and I would have to pass Arctic in rebounds to do it. It doesn't look like Woo will drop any points as Idaho's 3PT shooting has really dropped off tonight (or Woo has forged ahead). It doesn't look like Belgrade will catch Seoul in steals - unless they go hog-wild later.

Whoa, look at Brussels now. Up to 452! 8-8 and 6 blocks from JaVale McGee tonight. Another 19 and 10 performance from Blatche. 28 points from Johnny Salmons. Oh yes, Brussels is finishing strong (for a 9th place team).

Bench guys galore from San Antonio tonight. It's hard to have any Spurs down the stretch as they ALWAYS rest their starters.

Idaho down to 276 tonight. -26 points for Monday. Idaho is 4th in ATO and no better than 10th in all the other categories. As I have previously mentioned, it appears his money finish from last season was an aberration, a fluke, maybe a miracle. Come on Idaho - pressure is on you in 2010/11 to prove me wrong.

So, who is going to get 3rd and 4th? Is it just down to the 3 teams (French, Bangkok, and the Wack)? Can Juan or Arctic make a late surge? I don't think Arctic has the horses. I think they get to 774 and maybe 794 if they move up in scoring - but I think they are almost maxed out. The thing with Juan de Fuca is that they are just ravaged with injuries. As Woo mentioned on the Scoreboard tonight - Juan is missing Chris Paul, Jermaine O'Neal, Gerald Wallace, and Brandon Roy tonight. That's 4 man games when he is trying to gain PTS on Seoul. Juan is only 60 pts behind Woo in scoring tonight and he's missing some serious scoring this last period. Throw in the fact he went with Serge Ibaka and Hasheem Thabeet - that certainly doesn't helpt the scoring category does it? If Juan could have passed Seoul in scoring I think I would have had a shot at the title...but without Woo losing those 20 points - I think I will come up short.

So can Benny move up from 802 points? I went through the categories and saw only FG% for a chance to move up and in fact the Wack is in danger of losing points in other categories (PTS, STLS). So I don't think Benny is moving up much more.

Bangkok has room to move in a lot of categories - but I'm not sure he will. They could move in 3PT% but time is running out. There could be as much as 39 points upward movement in 3PT% but he is now 0.3 behind Yuma and Brussels so that seems unlikely. Maybe he could gain 13 points by passing Juan. In ATO, he could move up 26 points if he could catch Golden and Boston - but again, time is running out. Maybe 13 points available in FG%. They'll probably gain 13 pts by passing the Wack in steals and PTS and REBS he's maxed out. So, that's a possible 78 points but it seems that 26-39 points is more likely as after tonight he'll only have 13 man games left.

French could move in scoring as he's close behind Yuma and Chilliwack. Plus, French will have 16 man games left after tonight. He could gain 13 in 3PT% is he gets hot and Arctic goes cold. ATO, BLK, and FG% appears he's maxed out (although I guess maybe FG% is possible). STLs and REBS he's maxed out. In the PTS category, there could be +40 there if he can outscore Yuma and the Wack. That category will be the key to where French finishes. Will his Celtics boys be rested? And I will say it again, Terrence Williams has been a God send for this squad. 21 and 13 tonight! Kevin Martin has 30 points tonight so far so he's trying his darndest as well.

Well, we'll see what the end of the night looks like....

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