Earlier this evening we saw a 5 player deal between Idaho and Brussels. Idaho re-acquires Chris Bosh along with Jonny Flynn and Terrance Williams in exchange for Tyreke Evans and DeAndre Jordan. In my view, this is really a 3 player deal (Bosh for Tyreke and Jordan). Flynn and Williams are NOT fantasy factors at this point in time. Maybe Idaho knows something that the rest of us don't, but I'm not feeling either of them for week 12. Bosh and Evans are back on JBL teams they've already done tours of duty with this season. Must be some sort of Cousin-loan program...
Brussels has added Tyreke and Jordan to his squad and the Brussels team is a very large one these days. He trots out Jordan, Bynum, Randolph and McGee. Very soon he can add Gerald Wallace and Troy Murphy (likely in a Pistons uniform) to the mix. This will be a very strong rebounding team moving forward.
Tim and I exchanged several texts this evening about life, trades, JBL, and other topics. I really enjoy my chats with Timbo. Lots of fun. I asked Brussels where he saw his team finishing the season. His answer was "top 5 finish". I also needed to know if this was ahead or behind the Golden Showers squad (just so I know what to expect). He said 'ahead'. So, this Brussels team, currently with 479 points is going to crack the top 5?? Currently, 5th place in the JBL is Seoul at 905 points. Can Brussels really crack the 900 point plateau by the end of the season??Let's break this down and see if it's possible....
Currently, the Muscles are 11th in 3 point shooting and statistically speaking they are actually the 13th best 3PT% team in the JBL. Troy Murphy's return could really help this team out but it will be tough to gain much ground in this category.
ATO - the Muscles are at 1.637 for the season and his team is tracking around the same level. It's hard to predict since we don't know what kind of 2nd halves Wall or Lawson may have. Regardless, Tim's in the mix with all the other ATO teams in the 1.600 range. He could maybe gain as much as 39 points in this category. Of course, he could also lose points in this category.
BLKS - the Brussels team is tracking at 0.72 for the season. This is 3rd best pace in the JBL. Currently, Brussels is already 4th in the JBL in blocks. He tracks at a better pace than Bangkok so he could gain 13pts if he catches the 'Kok. He could also catch Golden if the Showers move any shot blockers (Ibaka). So, this could be a 26 point gain for the Muscles. No one is catching the Ballers. In fact, they should set a JBL record for most blocks in a JBL season.
FG% - the current Muscles squad tracks at 45.4% and currently the squad is at 44.9% - so he can move up a bit in terms of percentage. Unfortunately, the next closest team is the Yuma squad and they are at 45.9%. Troy Murphy's return to fantasy prominence could play a factor but is he really going to shoot a high enough percentage to move Brussels up? As structured, I don't see the Muscles team going anywhere in FG%.
PTS - currently the Muscles are 12th in the JBL in scoring. Statistically, this team averages just under 12ppg as a group and that's good for 12th as well. Now, maybe the return of a healthy Troy Murphy can help but what is he going to average? 15ppg maybe? At the moment, as it is currently structured, this team doesn't score enough to move up in the category. The Muscles currently don't have a single 20ppg scorer on their roster.
STL - currently the Muscles are 9th in steals but they track a bit higher as the 5th best steals team in the JBL. So, there is some room for improvement. Let's predict they can get to 5th in steals - that would be +50 in the points category (roughly).
REBS - I take it this is where Brussels is hoping to make his move. Currently, the Muscles are 9th in rebounding but the rebounding race, at least in the middle of the pack, is still quite close. It's very possible, with all the big bodies that Brussels has acquired that this team could get up to 4th in rebounding by the end of the season. And maybe with some luck he could get 3rd in rebounds. Roughly, he could pull another +75 points for the team.
So, as they are currently structured, how many points can Brussels gain?? Well, based on my rough estimates he can gain about 180-200 points. That would put him in the 680-700 range by season's end. Will that be enough for a top 5 finish? Will that be enough to beat the Golden squad? I'll let you guys answer those questions...but I think you know what mine are when it comes to Brussels' dream of finishing top 5. He very well may finish higher in the standings than Golden by season's end - but I don't think a top 5 finish is in the cards for this Muscles squad.
What do you think?
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