Sunday, April 8, 2012

Easter Review...

So, it's Sunday morning, the Easter Bunny has come and gone. I'm having a coffee and looking at the JBL Standings. It's been years since I've seen a title race this close. 5 teams are still in contention. Each and every 3 pointer made and missed right now can move a team up or down in that category. As I've said here before - I think 3PT% will be the determining factor on who wins this puppy.

So, thought I would have a look at each teams' chances of winning the title.

Let's start with Juan de Fuca. Currently at 1012 points. Let's see if they can gain points in certain categories or are at risk of losing points.

Juan de Fuca (1012 points)
3PT% - looks like they will finish 1st here - +/- no points
PTS - currently 1st - I think they will finish either 1st or 2nd. Could lose -20 points.
ATO - no movement anticipated.
STL - Idaho and Yuma closing in. Could lose -26 points
BLK - just 9 blocks back of French - could gain +13 points
REB - no movement anticipated
FG% - in a dog fight with French and Golden - could gain +13 pts or lose -13pts.

So, overall - I think Juan can move up another 26 points or they could lose 59 points.

Golden (1003 points)
3PT% - Could gain +39 points or lose -39 points
PTS - could gain +20 points
ATO - could lose -13 points
STL - could lose -26 points
BLK - no movement expected
REB - no movement expected
FG% - could gain +26 points or could lose -13 points

Overall, room to go up +85 points or could lose -91 points

French Lick (996 points)
3PT% - could gain +26 points
PTS - could gain +20 points or lose -20 points in the short term. (could gain +40 long term)
ATO - could gain +13 points (just .005 behind Seoul)
STL - could gain +26 points (5 back of Seoul; 10 back of Golden)
BLK - Juan just 9 blocks back - could lose -13 points
REB - Yuma just 20 rebs behind - could lose -15 points
FG% - could gain +13 points or lose -26 points

Overall, could gain +98 points or lose -74 points

Seoul (955 points)
3PT% - +13 or -13 - just 0.1 ahead and behind teams
PTS - no movement
ATO - could lose -13 points - French on his tail
STL - +13 or -13 as he's sandwiched between Golden and French
BLK - appears no movement
REB - could gain +15 as he's just 10 rebs behind Arctic
FG% - Already 1st - doesn't appear to be in danger of dropping

Overall, could move up +41 points while he could drop -39 points.

Chilliwack (882 points)
3PT% - could gain +78 points if he got hot from downtown. Can't drop any further.
PTS - could gain +20 with the return of D Rose
ATO - +13 appears possible with the return of Rose and Lowry
STL - +13 appears possible. Unlikely to lose ground
BLK - could lose -13 points due to Arctic's rise
REB - already 1st - no movement expected
FG% - appears locked in for 2nd place in FG%.

Overall, could move up +124 points if everything went perfectly. Could lose -13 points in blocks. At worst, Benny's at 869 and in no apparent danger of dropping out of the top 5.

And finally, since the season is almost over, I thought I would take the opportunity to conduct 'interviews' of JBL owners on their seasons. So, you may be getting an email from me with some questions. If you have a couple of minutes - please answer them and send them back. I'll post them on here and on the site. Might be fun to get some others take on how their seasons went and their perspective on a few things.

Signing off. Happy Easter!

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