Monday, April 23, 2012

4 Nights to Go...

OK, so I missed a few nights....

The title is still up for grabs and will be on Thursday's final night.
3 teams can still win the title and there are multiple categories that need to be watched regarding each team...

Golden (currently at 1068)
- still hanging around Maui in ATO (1.497 to 1.506) - unlikely to catch them unless CP3 is rested.
- clinging to a 0.2% FG% lead over Arctic and French
- just 3 steals ahead of French - big 26 point swing at stake there

Juan de Fuca (1025)
- ATO is close with Juan and the Wack (1.436 to 1.432) - Juan cannot afford to give up those 13 pts
- BLKS - Juan holds just a 5 block lead over French
- FG% - just 0.1% behind Arctic and French and just 0.1% ahead of Bangkok
- REBs - 87 rebounds behind the Wack

French Lick (1024)
- 3PT% - just % points ahead of the Wack; 0.1% ahead of Seoul; 0.2% ahead of Idaho and 0.3% ahead of Montreal. French is likely maxed out in this category unless Ryan Anderson and others get hot
- BLKS - 5 blocks behind Juan de Fuca
- FG% - just % points behind Arctic in FG% but only 0.1% ahead of Juan
- PTS - just 6 points back of Yuma - that's a big 20 pts in the standings for French
- STL - just 3 steals back of Golden - again, a 26 points swing

So - who can win it? All 3 teams can win it...
Who has the best shot? I have no clue. What makes it difficult is the guys on shut down alert. Who plays in the these final guys will be very tough to predict. All 3 teams have guys that may or may not play much over the final 3 nights.

I like French's chances because of the 2 categories he's so close in. Can he outscore Yuma and gain 20 points?? Maybe. Yes. Can he pass Golden in steals? Maybe. Yes. If he can do those 2 categories that should be enough for the win - provided he doesn't drop any points in other categories - which is no guarantee because of how close 3PT% is right now. There are no easy answers when it comes to figuring this one out. This title will be determined on the final night.

Golden will have to see if Wade returns...but I imagine he'll continue to rest. Duncan will surely be rested. Will Ilyasova play anymore now that Milwaukee was eliminated from playoff contention? If Houston is eliminated then does Dragic and Scola play? If PHX is eliminated will Gortat and Dudley play? I can pretty much make a case for my entire team being rested on the final night of the NBA season. Of course, I can say the same thing about all the other JBL teams and their players as well. Will Gooden play for French? Will Durant be rested? Will Cousins be suspended for a game? Will Bosh play? Will Rondo play? Will Carmelo get a rest? So many unknowns should make the last few nights very interesting...

Good luck boys...we'll all need it.


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